Retour à la liste de résultats

Forecasting City Population Growth in Developing Countries

Auteur : Balk Deborah, Montgomery Mark R. , McGranahan Gordon ...[et al.]
Année de Publication : 2009
Type : Actes de congrès / Séminaire / Atelier
Thème : Démographie

Résumé/Sommaire :

In view of the massive increases in urban population expected to take place in developing countries in the coming decades, demographers will need to refine and critically assess their methods for estimating and forecasting city populations. This paper draws upon a newly assembled and comprehensive cities database for developing countries, combining time-series information from the UN Population Division and spatial information from the Global Urban-Rural Mapping Project of Columbia University, to develop probabilistic forecasts of city growth. The forecasts make use of urban total fertility rates, child mortality, age structure, and migration, all of these being estimated from WFS, DHS, MICS, and other demographic surveys. The city growth models include both classical and Bayesian econometric models for panel data, and also include spatial econometric specifications incorporating linkages across cities.

Traduire le résumé vers :


Recherche avancée
Navigation par

Navigation par :

Filtrer votre recherche

Sélectioner un domaine *

Sélectionner une thematique

Sélectionner une rubrique

Sélectionner une sous-rubrique

*Champs obligatoires
Chercher sur Abhatoo avec Google :