Abhatoo - Centre Nationale de Documentation

This study uses data from the 2006 Follow-up of Moroccan Vocational Training Graduates – Class of 2002 – to study the labour market transitions between employment, unemployment, and inactivity using a Markov chain BFGS approach. We analyze the way specific characteristics influence labour market transitions. We estimate a multivariate logit three-state model and a labour market transition matrix using Markov Chain BFGS technique. Results show that women are more prone than men to move out of labour force. Single graduates are less likely to move to employment than married graduates. The longer a graduate has been unemployed, the less likely he is to find a job. Furthermore graduates from secondary sector show a high probability to move out of the labor market compared to graduates from primary sector. However, graduates from tertiary sector are more prone to move to employment.