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Imperfection of Credit Markets, Speculative Bubbles and Financial Accelerator in Morocco

Auteur : Firano Zakaria
Année de Publication : 2014
Type : Article
Thème : Finances
Couverture : Maroc

Résumé/Sommaire :

The credit market continues to be the main mechanism for financing investments in developing countries, particularly in Morocco. In this sense, monetary and macro-prudential policies require the inclusion of this market in macroeconomic analysis. In this article, we use the model proposed by Bernanke et al. (1999) "BGG" in the case of Morocco to answer two main questions: is there a mechanism for financial accelerator in Morocco, according to which macroeconomic shocks can be amplified and lead to greater instability of the macroeconomic framework. In a second step, we propose a new monetary rule, taking into account changes in asset prices and the possibility of speculative bubbles in Morocco. The results argue that credit market imperfections in Morocco amplify macroeconomic shocks and affirm the hypothesis of the existence of financial accelerator in Morocco. In addition, the counterfactual analysis shows that the Taylor rule augmented with asset prices provides greater economic stability.

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